Wholesale inflation declines in April: After retail inflation reaches a six -year low, wholesale inflation has also reached a 13 -month low. Wholesale inflation was recorded at 0.85 percent in April due to a significant fall in petrol-diesel, electricity and raw material prices. Which was 2.05 percent in March. Which was 1.34 percent in April last year. Which was earlier 0.20 percent in March 2024.
The main factor behind the decline in wholesale inflation is the fall in fuel and raw material prices. However, there is no significant decline in the prices of manufacturing goods related to manufacturing.
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Retail inflation reaches a six -year low
In April, retail inflation came to 3.16 percent of the lowest level of 3.16 percent due to a fall in food prices. Retail inflation has been recorded within 4 percent of the target rate of RBI for the third consecutive month. In April 2025, the retail inflation fell by 18 base points to reach the lowest level after July 2019, compared to March 2025. The All India Consumer Food Price Index (CFPI) recorded 1.78 percent in April 2025. Retail food inflation in urban areas was low at 1.64 percent compared to 1.85 percent in rural areas.
Inflation will be under control this year – RBI
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its April 2025 monetary policy meeting, estimated that if the monsoon remains normal, retail inflation could be around 4% in the financial year 2025-26 (FY26). Inflation is expected to be 3.6% in the April-June quarter, much lower than the previous estimate of 4.5%. Its growth rate in the September quarter is estimated to be 3.9%. The December quarter will record an increase of 3.8%. Whereas it is estimated to be 4.4 percent in the March-26 quarter.
